The U.S. is on a path toward a lower score (higher entropy) across the four attributes—social cohesion, political systems, economic stability, and cultural vitality—based on current trends.
Evidence -
1. Social Cohesion (Current: 3/10) Assessment: Worsening. Polarization is rising (Pew: 80% view opposing party negatively), trust in institutions is near historic lows (Gallup: 20%), and inequality (Gini 0.494) fuels division.
Why: Rising polarization, declining trust, and persistent inequality deepen divisions, with misinformation and weakened community bonds accelerating social entropy.
2. Political Systems (Current: 2/10) Assessment: Deteriorating. Extreme partisanship (64% see divisions as insurmountable, Pew) and legislative gridlock (e.g., recurring debt ceiling crises) undermine governance. Threats to democratic norms and low moderate voter share (34%) signal further dysfunction. Institutional trust is eroding rapidly.
Why: Partisanship, gridlock, and eroding democratic norms weaken governance, with low trust and rising extremism driving political entropy higher.
3. Economic Stability (Current: 5/10) Assessment: Mixed but trending downward. Growth (1.9% GDP) is steady but fragile; growing inequality persists, and supply chain disruptions. Public debt (120% of GDP) and uneven recovery (top 1% hold 32% wealth) strain resilience. Without reform, vulnerabilities grow.
Why: Fragile growth, rising debt, and persistent inequality, worsened by potential tariff disruptions, threaten economic stability, increasing entropic risks.
4. Cultural Vitality (Current: 4/10) Assessment: Declining. Cultural fragmentation grows as shared identity weakens. Global influences dilute cohesion, and civic participation drops. Without a unifying narrative, identity fractures further, risking loss of collective purpose.
Why: Fragmented identity, declining civic engagement, and weakened shared values erode cultural unity, pushing toward greater entropic disorder.