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  #21  
Old 04/25/09, 06:48 PM
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BTW, here's a good reliable site I frequently lurk at. It is mostly emergency medical personnel and Doctors Without Borders. Information is being posted there almost in real time.
http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/index.php
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  #22  
Old 04/25/09, 06:55 PM
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I don't see anyone panicking; no one. I do see a lot of people who are concerned (and rightly so) who feel better getting prepared. I see a lot of people who feel better being in the company of others who also take this as a wake up call.

If you're not one of them and think they are nuts, then that's fine; but why not read the threads and move on. Why make comments that are belittling to other's beliefs and what this forum is for? After all, this is a survival and preparedness forum. Good grief, sometimes I wonder where people think they are...LOL!
If that's directed at me, in no way did I say people shouldn't be prepared. This *could* turn out to be a bad pandemic, and I think everyone should be prepared for that possibility.

But I do see people panicking and I see the media milking the story for all it's worth.

A panicked public will help nobody.
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  #23  
Old 04/25/09, 07:00 PM
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It's comforting to know that a friend of mine is now recovering from it. She caught it in Louisiana a couple days ago. They are treating it with natural methods, using garlic and oregano oil. She's improving and feeling much better today.

It hit her hard and fast on the trip home. She laid down in the back seat for the last 100 miles. By the time they got home she had a very high fever. She's not in the age group it's worst for, but not far past 45.

Now I know who I'll call if I get sick...
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  #24  
Old 04/25/09, 07:03 PM
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Was it truly swine flu, Spinner? Did she require any medical attention?
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  #25  
Old 04/25/09, 07:09 PM
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Oh no, Ladycat, that was not direct at you at all. It was directed at I'm so very sorry! I was speaking to RiverPines. I just felt his post was on the disrespectful side of belittling those who are concerned and prepping.

But I do have to say I just don't see anyone panicking; especially on this site or any other site I've been on the last couple of days. I see people getting prepared, waiting and watching; but I don't see panic. Maybe I have different sense of what panic is.

Panic to me is when you start running around doing ridiculous things because you can't think what to do or how to prepare for the coming infringement. Like everyone running out at once to the grocery store for things they don't even use or need; rioting and looting; loading up the car and heading to the hills; etc.

As far as the media goes, this is HUGE news; so of course they're going to get the most bang for the buck. That's their job anymore.

Anyone here old enough to remember when the 'news' reports were the facts and only the facts? They would fire someone for sensationalizing the facts. But today, there's just so much information out there that in order to have people tune you in; you have to be the most interesting. Sometimes I long for the good 'ole days when the general public didn't know anything..LOL.
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  #26  
Old 04/25/09, 07:19 PM
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I forgot to mention that the 1918 Spanish flu death rate was 2.5%; this strain so far has a 7% rate.
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  #27  
Old 04/25/09, 07:34 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Karen;3773503. If you're not one of them and think they are nuts, then that's fine; but why not read the threads and move on. Why make comments that are belittling to other's beliefs and what this forum is for? After all, this is a survival [I
and preparedness[/I] forum. Good grief, sometimes I wonder where people think they are...LOL!
GC?!? Thank you! Better said than I could have but sure wanted to.

You brought u some very good points, not being flu season was one of the first tings that hit me.

What was the time frame for this being figured out in Mexico? Anything on the testing done in NY?
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  #28  
Old 04/25/09, 07:47 PM
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And now Kansas.
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  #29  
Old 04/25/09, 07:56 PM
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Kansas was an oddball for me. I couldn't figure out why Kansas. It's not the border, and I don't know that there's a large portion of the Kansas population who vacations in Mexico.

One thing Kansas does have though is commercial agriculture. And where there's commercial agriculture in the United States ... there's Mexicans.

The 2.5% for the 1918 pandemic is on the low side of the estimates. It ranged up to 5% with an estimated one half the world's population being infected at the high point. Places like China and India were the hardest hit mostly due to the overcrowding.

Does America of 2009 look anything remotely like 1918? I'd say not. We're far more mobile and numerous. A disease won't be confined to the backwaters of the rural heartland, but rather will jump whole states at a time, much like we're seeing now.
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  #30  
Old 04/25/09, 09:51 PM
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Seems odd to me too, Ernie. Of course, with international travel being so prevalent, it could even be a flight attendant, businessman. Even a migrant worker coming back for planting season after visiting his family. But, in past epidemics/pandemics they begin somewhere and spread from there.

The odd thing is this sprain only has less than a 48 hr. incubation period and then hits very suddenly with a vengeance. It isn't like people have time to travel, come home, go about their daily business, etc. -- and then find out their sick. You have sympthoms within 24 hrs. of contact.

During a CDC briefing, they confirmed that information that one of the school children had been to Mexico in the past week, was not correct. They have no idea yet how it got there.

One of the things that WHO and the CDC is looking into is whether Mexico City is actually 2 separate viruses of the same strain. One that strikes more like the regular flu (like what we're seeing in the US) and then the next strain hits while you're in a weakened condition.

Although it's concerning, it's kind of interesting at the same time. This virus is certainly unlike anything we've seen before.

I'm really looking forward to Pony's post when she finds her notes on virus as to why this could be something man-made rather than a natural occurrence.

Virus are pretty fascinating critters. It's amazing how intelligent they are and how they adapt/mutate when they are threatened. They actually communicate.
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Last edited by Karen; 04/25/09 at 09:54 PM.
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  #31  
Old 04/25/09, 10:25 PM
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Some mighty good links:

http://www.google.com/search?source=ig&hl=en&rlz=&q=flu+virus+swap+genes&btnG=Google+Search&aq=o&oq=
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  #32  
Old 04/26/09, 12:21 AM
 
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Man, I spend a couple of days at a church conference & come home to this!

And the main speaker was coughing quite a bit. Did he infect us all?
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  #33  
Old 04/26/09, 01:17 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RiverPines View Post
A swine flu pandemic hit in 1968 and killed 1 million people....world wide!
(Everyone I know, family, friends, lived through that outbreak, including me! )
Look at numbers. The world population, billions, loosing 1 million is a drop in a bucket!!

This flu now, the numbers, 1k sick in Mexico city where the population is 20million!!

More people die each year from the regular plain old, non threating flu.

How many people die each year form cancer, heart disease, etc?

I swear its the fad today to hype things up to keep people busy in panic and worry instead of thinking about things like the economy and the next wave of layoffs coming!

And if a 'true viral treat' happens, there is nothing thats going to stop it no matter how much flour you have stocked up!
I didn't see this post as disrespectful, just a different opinion and part of what keeps things in balance on this forum. This isn't general chat and I hope we can still express opposing opinions without upsetting others...at least we've been able to up til this point. I'm one of those preppers and I didn't get the least bit offended by this post.
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  #34  
Old 04/26/09, 07:34 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Karen View Post
Seems odd to me too, Ernie. Of course, with international travel being so prevalent, it could even be a flight attendant, businessman. Even a migrant worker coming back for planting season after visiting his family. But, in past epidemics/pandemics they begin somewhere and spread from there.
Don't forget spring break is recently over for many colleges and students travel widely.
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  #35  
Old 04/26/09, 07:39 AM
 
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Now it's in New Zealand of all places. Students who had been in Mexico.
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  #36  
Old 04/26/09, 09:15 AM
 
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The husband in the Kansas couple had attended a business meeting in Mexico. He upon his return he infected his wife. Pretty good catch by his doctor in Kansas!
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  #37  
Old 04/26/09, 09:20 AM
 
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just FYI. I work in the County in Texas (Guadalupe) where they closed the high school this week due to 3 teens coming down with the swine flu. 2 of the students knew each other and hung out... but the third didn't, the only connections is they all went to the same high school, and it's a big school. I go into that school at least once a week with my job.... the town is just barely north of san antonio
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  #38  
Old 04/26/09, 09:40 AM
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Remember the Hong Kong flu in 1972? It killed my mom at age 35. Flu is nothing to mess with. We will go to church today but otherwise avoid groups until we know how this will play out.
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  #39  
Old 04/26/09, 10:02 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ernie View Post
Kansas was an oddball for me. I couldn't figure out why Kansas. It's not the border, and I don't know that there's a large portion of the Kansas population who vacations in Mexico.

One thing Kansas does have though is commercial agriculture. And where there's commercial agriculture in the United States ... there's Mexicans.
Kansas has a substantial Hispanic population working in many occupations. It is not uncommon for Hispanic families to travel to Mexico to visit family members still residing in Mexico.
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  #40  
Old 04/26/09, 10:12 AM
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Well I know what I'll be doing a while, avoiding a couple friends of mine. The one works at a hospital so most likely he would be exposed first. My other friend's girl friend works at a day care. Seems she is always getting sick with something, brings it home, and gets my friend sick and then me. Every time they are sick I'll get sick with in a day or two. Heck right now I am recovering from the last duesy from them.
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