
03/18/12, 05:07 PM
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Too Complicated For Cable
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Join Date: Feb 2011
Location: Washington
Posts: 10,118
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MO_cows
The lowered supply of cattle puts the producers in the drivers seat instead of the packers for a change. These historic high prices are more likely to have producers cashing in on their culls rather than keeping heifers and hoping/speculating these prices will still be holding up in 3-4 years.
It's not just the inventory of beef cows that is down, there have been major dairy selloffs in recent history, too. Low cow inventory plus extreme drought in the number one beef producing state - who knows what will happen??
For the smaller producers who were cutting out the middlemen and marketing their own beef, there is less incentive now to do that. If they can just run them to the sale barn after weaning and cash in for a good profit, why keep them and have more cost into them by the time they are ready to harvest, do all the work of marketing, coordinating the multiple customers per animal, collecting their money from a bunch of individuals, the extra record keeping, etc?
It's gonna be interesting!
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I'm in a similar spot right now. I'll likely run about 50 calves through here this year and most of them will go to the sale barn. While I can produce and market grass fed for about the same price as Wal Mart beef, why bother? I can raise em to about 500lbs and get 5-$600 a head right now at the barn. And that's for Holstein steer!
I'll still produce some for locals and friends, but by and large I don't see a reason to keep them through finishing with these prices.
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Know why the middle class is screwed? 3 classes, 2 parties...
To punish me for my contempt for authority, fate made me an authority myself. ~ Einstein
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